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2018 Farm Bill Toolbox

The Farm Bill Toolbox includes an online tool giving estimates of Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) payments. An Excel spreadsheet provided scenario analysis and yield updating options. YouTube videos describe commodity title alternatives and provide advice…
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Latest farmdoc Daily Articles

Two Trade Deals and a Price Drop

The signing of the Phase 1 trade deal with China and approval in the Senate of the USMCA last week saw two positive developments on the trade front.  Despite some resolution on these trade issues, markets reacted negatively.  The USMCA,…

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Working Capital to Value of Farm Production – One Measure of Liquidity

This article examines working capital to value of farm production for selected producer characteristics. Working capital to Value of Farm production is one of the traditional measures of liquidity suggested by the Farm Financial Standards Council (FFSC), with others being…

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Revision of 2020 Corn and Soybean Budgets

Budgets for 2020 have been revised and are now available on farmdoc. Revised budgets use a corn price of $3.90 per bushel and soybean price of $9.10 per bushel, both of which are an increase in price expectations following what…

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Did That Really Just Happen? USDA Revisions to the 2018/19 Corn Balance Sheet

The USDA released a number of important reports for the grain markets on January 10, 2019, including the quarterly Grain Stocks report, Annual Crop Production Summary, and the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. In addition to…

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What are the Chance of PLC Payments for the 2019 and 2020 Pro-gram Year

Price estimates in the January report of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) add more clarity to the chance of Price Loss Coverage (PLC) payments for the 2019 marketing year. For 2019, January estimates of the 2019 Market…

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Waiting for the Trade Deal

The highly anticipated release of USDA’s crop production and ending stocks reports last Friday created a somewhat negative tone in corn and soybean markets. Despite the slightly bearish tilt, prices for both commodities closed higher on Friday. The pending phase…

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Latest Farm Policy News Articles

Kansas City Fed: Farm Lending Declines For a Second Consecutive Quarter

In an update last week from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (“Farm Lending Declines at End of 2019”), Nathan Kauffman stated that, “The volume of agricultural lending at commercial banks remained elevated, but declined for a second consecutive quarter.…

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Uncertainty Lingers Regarding Chinese Purchases of U.S. Farm Goods

Bloomberg writers Mike Dorning and Michael Hirtzer reported last week that, “President Donald Trump’s phase-one trade deal with China offers the promise of more overseas sales for American farmers, but the impact of the agreement remains unclear.”

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Federal Reserve: Observations on the Ag Economy- January 2020

Last week, the Federal Reserve Board released its January 2020 Beige Book update, a summary of commentary on current economic conditions by Federal Reserve District. The report included several observations pertaining to the U.S. agricultural economy.

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Senate Passes USMCA, Providing Reassurance and Certainty to Farmers

Wall Street Journal writer William Mauldin reported on Thursday that, “The U.S. Senate easily passed an overhaul of North America’s trade rules on Thursday, sending a major Trump administration priority to the president’s desk.”

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U.S., China Sign Phase One Trade Deal- Agricultural Purchases Included

Financial Times writer James Politi reported on Wednesday that, “The US and China have signed an agreement to pause the trade war that has weighed on the global economy for nearly two years, while leaving in place tariffs on hundreds…

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African Swine Fever Continues to Propel “Profound” Market Changes

Last week, Financial Times writers Emiko Terazono, Andres Schipani and Jamie Smyth reported that, “China’s African swine fever epidemic has dramatically reshaped the global meat market and its trade patterns in the 18 months since the outbreak was first officially…

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