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Planting Decision Model
With this program, the user can: 1) estimate the costs of planting corn and soybeans by planting date, 2) estimate the net returns from replanting, 3) prevented planting payments, and…
Quick Cash Flow Projections
Farm Projection Tool
This program calculates per-acre budgets for different crops and a whole farm budget and includes breakevens. Projected financial statements and return sensitivities are available. The effects of farm level crop…
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Latest farmdoc Daily Articles
Benchmarking Labor Efficiency and Productivity
Labor costs are one of the most prevalent costs on a farm. As such, farm managers need to evaluate whether they are utilizing labor efficiently and productively. One way to evaluate this issue is to use benchmarks created using data from similar farms. Labor benchmarks should include family and operator labor as well as hired labor. In this article, labor efficiency and productivity measures are illustrated for a case farm in west central Indiana and compared to benchmark targets.
Planted Acres and Private Market Profitability over the Current Crop Safety Net Period
Since the 2014 Farm Bill created the current crop safety net, planted plus prevent planted acres have increased for peanuts, rice, and soybeans among the nine program crops for which USDA computes cost of production. Acres of the other six crops have declined. While statistically significant in accordance with economic principles, private market net return explains less than half of the variation in percent change of acres for the nine cost of production crops between 2012-13 and 2023-24.
Ethanol Demand Destruction 2.0?
The first Trump Administration was supportive of the goal of setting the RFS conventional (ethanol) mandate near or below the E10 blend wall, mainly using small refinery exemptions (SREs). Since a second Trump Administration is now in place, it seems reasonable to assume there is the possibility of the conventional mandate again being written down. This raises the question of the likely impact of any future reductions in the conventional mandate on the demand for ethanol in the physical market.
Tariff Threats and US Fertilizer Imports
Tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China have the potential to increase the prices paid by consumers and products for goods, services, and inputs from those major US trading partners. Fertilizers are such an input for US farmers. Price increases would likely be greatest for potassium (K) given the US reliance on imports, in particular imports from Canada. Impacts would likely be smaller for nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) fertilizers.
Continued Contraction Supports Record Prices
The USDA’s January 1 cattle inventory report places the total number of cattle and calves at 86.7 million head, near the upper range of pre-report expectations and down 0.6% from a year ago, as the industry continues into a sixth consecutive year of contraction within the cattle cycle. In general, the report confirms anticipated year over year drops across most inventory categories with fewer beef cows than any time since 1961 and the lowest total inventory since 1951.
Improving Contemporary Ad Hoc Economic Assistance
2024 ad hoc economic assistance was framed in the context of low 2024 prices and high 2024 costs. Ad hoc assistance using 2024 values should best match ad hoc assistance with 2024 loss. The decision to use historical yields rather than 2024 yields results in coverage of 2024 loss that varies by crop even though coverage is the same using 2024 ad hoc assistance calculations. 2024 ad hoc assistance thus creates inequities among crops in its coverage of 2024 losses.
Latest Farm Policy News Articles
USDA Freezes Conservation, Other Direct Farmer Funding
Reuters’ P.J. Huffstutter and Leah Douglas reported Saturday that “the U.S. Department of Agriculture has frozen some funding for farmers as it goes through a sweeping review, despite assurances from…
Farm Income to Increase in 2025 Thanks to Federal Aid
Progressive Farmer’s Katie Micik Dehlinger reported Thursday that “USDA forecasts climbing farm income in 2025, but it’s due to a dramatic increase in government payments, not better prices or a…
US Ag Export Volumes Surged 22% in 2024
Reuters’ Karen Braun reported Wednesday that “most global importers last year took advantage of plentiful and cheaper U.S. bulk agricultural commodities, including soybeans and corn, the top-ticket items.” “Milestones were…
Ag Traders, Manufacturers Report Tough Profit Outlooks
Reuters’ Karl Plume reported Tuesday that “grains merchant Archer-Daniels-Midland posted its lowest fourth-quarter adjusted profit in six years on Tuesday on weak oilseed crush margins and uncertainty over U.S. biofuel…
China Tariffs Begin, Canada & Mexico Tariffs Paused
Reuters’ Trevor Hunnicutt and Kevin Krolicki reported that “China imposed targeted tariffs on American imports on Tuesday and put several U.S. companies, including Google, on notice for possible sanctions, in…