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Crop Insurance Decision Tool
This program calculates premiums, evaluates insurance payments, and provides historical data useful when making crop insurance decisions for multiple crops. Estimates are for crops in midwest and southeast states. Learn…
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Latest farmdoc Daily Articles
Forecast Performance of RMA Expected Yields: Comparison of Yield Projection Methods
Building upon the analyses discussed in the farmdoc daily articles of January 27, 2026 and April 1, 2026, this study finds that the current method used by RMA (Risk Management…
Historical View of U.S. Row Crop Acreage
USDA’s baseline projects a downward trend towards 241.6 million acres planted to major row crops by 2035. If realized, major row crop acres would be near their lowest level over the past 40 years, with USDA projecting that reductions in corn, soybean and wheat acres will lead the way. For wheat acres this continues a multi-decade trend. For corn and soybeans this would represent a shift from the historical trend towards greater concentration in corn and soybean acres.
Illinois Cash Rents and Leasing Expectations Through 2027
Results from the ISPFMRA survey indicate a stable farmland leasing environment in Illinois. While landlord net returns under cash rent agreements experienced slight compression from 2024 to 2025, reported 2026 cash rents remained resilient with marginal increases observed on highly productive land. Traditional cash rent structures remain the dominant leasing methods, and survey respondents expect these valuation plateaus to persist through the 2027 crop year.
The Iran Conflict and Fertilizer Markets: Why Brazil Faces Greater Near-Term Risk than the U.S.
Latest developments in the Middle East, including the Strait of Hormuz closure, have repercussions on energy, fertilizers, and commodity markets (see farmdoc daily, March 23, 2026; March 24, 2026, and…
Fats in the MAHA Era: Consumer Perceptions of Common Cooking Fats
In this post, we report results from the Gardner Food and Agricultural Policy Survey to assess consumer perceptions of seven potential fat sources. Specifically, we assess respondents’ awareness, use, and perceptions of healthfulness of each source. We also assess perceptions of the recent Dietary Guidelines recommendation on cooking fats and analyze how perceptions of fat sources and the recommendation differ across perceptions of MAHA.
Trillionitus and the US Farm Safety Net
“Trillionitus” is the difficulty in thinking in trillion dollars, a significant constraint when trying to understand the US economy and economic policy. No personal experience is remotely similar in magnitude, but one way to gain some perspective is to compare the US economy and Federal spending to a measure closer to personal experience. This article presents such a comparison using median US household income to provide perspectives on the US farm safety net.
Latest Farm Policy News Articles
USDA Seeks Farmer Input in Fertilizer Price Collusion Probe
The Trump administration is seeking information from farmers to help with an ongoing Justice Department probe into high costs for fertilizer, machinery and other farm inputs. The Department of Justice…
Strait of Hormuz Blockade Could Further Hit Fertilizer Prices
US President Donald Trump’s plan for a full naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz threatens to deepen an already unprecedented crisis in one of the world’s most important energy-producing…