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Latest in Marketing & Outlook

Soybean Price Prospects Moving into 2020

The two major drivers of uncertainty impacting soybean prices in 2019 appear set to carry over into 2020.  The status of trade negotiations with China continues to move soybean markets despite numerous fits and starts in the process. Another USDA…

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Weekly Outlook

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Soybean Price Prospects Moving into 2020

The two major drivers of uncertainty impacting soybean prices in 2019 appear set to carry over into 2020.  The status of trade negotiations with China continues to move soybean markets despite numerous fits and starts in the process. Another USDA…

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Corn Demand Showing Some Recovery

After a dismal performance in September and October, corn demand showed signs of life in November. Ethanol production and export sales picked up the pace over the last few weeks. Expanded placements and higher weights in the livestock sector point…

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Weekly Outlook: Acreage in 2020

The 2019 crop year will live long in the memory. A record amount of prevent plant acres, delayed harvest, and considerable dismay over USDA reports compounded the uncertainty associated with the trade war. Speculation about the acreage levels in 2020…

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Soybean Crush Prospects

The release of the NOPA soybean crush estimates last Friday indicated crush levels picked up substantially in October.  Driven by a moderate export pace for soybeans and a decent crush margin, soybean crush appears back on track for the 2019-20…

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Will Corn Exports Recover?

Despite the corn crop dropping by 118 million bushels in last Friday’s WASDE report, a 100 million bushel reduction in 2019-20 corn use muted any positivity.  While expected by most market observers, the slow pace of corn exports to begin…

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What Does a Trade Deal Promise for Soybean Exports?

The proposed Phase 1 trade deal with China continues to move toward a resolution.  An initial announcement of $40-50 billion a year of agricultural exports gradually morphed into a $20 billion arrangement. Subsequently, a scenario popped up from Chinese trade…

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Biofuels

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Has Ethanol Increased Total US Corn Use?

Corn processed into US ethanol has grown dramatically, and accounted for 37% of total US corn use during the 2018 market year (USDA (US Department of Agriculture), Office of the Chief Economist, November 2019).  A related, but broader issue is,…

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Clearing the Logjam on the RFS and SREs: A Simple Proposal

Implementation of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) in the U.S. has been controversial from the start. The latest controversy revolves around a seemingly obscure provision of the RFS that allows small refineries to be exempted from mandated volume requirements. The…

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Law and Taxation: A Retrospective of 20 Years

In many respects, the development of law is an evolutionary process, adjusting slowly to the evolving needs and values of society.  Certainty and stability with respect to property rights, regulatory programs and the tax structure provide a solid foundation for…

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Biofuels Markets and Policy: 20th Anniversary of the farmdoc Project

When the farmdoc project started in 1999 biofuels markets and policy were barely on the radar screen. However, production and use of biofuels in the U.S. grew very rapidly starting around 2005 due to a combination of factors. Two factors…

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Implications of Recent Trends in U.S. Gasoline Consumption for Ethanol

The vast majority of domestic demand for ethanol in the U.S. is in the form of E10 gasoline blends. For example, implied domestic consumption of ethanol in 2018 was 14.4 billion gallons, of which all but a few hundred million…

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Revisiting the Value of Ethanol in E10 Gasoline Blends

The contentious debate about the impact of small refinery exemptions (SREs) on the physical demand for ethanol shows no signs of letting up. The ethanol industry continues to argue forcefully that there has been substantial destruction of demand in the…

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Marketing & Outlook Data

Illinois Regional Basis Data

Illinois Regional Basis Data – Soybeans

Historical soybean basis for seven regions in Illinois.  Basis and cash prices are reported weekly from 1975. File is in Microsoft Excel format.
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Illinois Regional Basis Data – Corn

Historical corn basis for seven regions in Illinois.  Basis and cash prices are reported weekly from 1975. File is in Microsoft Excel format.
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Selected Market Data

Selected Market Data – Corn

Current and historical values of factors important for developing supply, demand, and price expectations for corn. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Selected Market Data – Soybeans

Current and historical values of factors important for developing supply, demand, and price expectations for corn and soybeans. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Price Data

Agricultural Supply and Demand Database

Values for a number of important supply, demand, and price variables for crops and livestock since 1975. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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US Average Farm Price Received Database

Average farm price received data, for multiple commodities, in the US for the period 1960 to present. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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lllinois Average Farm Price Received Database

Average farm price received data, for multiple commodities, in the state of Illinois for the period 1960 to present. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Marketing & Outlook Reports

The Marketing and Outlook Research Reports (MORR) were published between 2008 and 2014. The reports are archived for interested researchers and public use.

The Marketing and Outlook Briefs (MOBR) were published between 2007 and 2011. The articles are archived for interested researchers and public use.

The AgMAS Reports  were published between 1997 and 2012. The reports are archived for interested researchers and public use.

Marketing & Outlook Publication Archives

Weekly Outlook

Marketing & Outlook archives include Weekly Outlook articles published from 1999-2010. The current Weekly Outlook series is published on farmdoc daily.

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