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Latest in Marketing & Outlook

Corn Prices: Farmer Holding and the Coronavirus

Old crop corn basis and futures spreads continue to signal a smaller crop scenario than the price levels in the futures market suggest.  Futures price levels reflect the uncertainty associated with the coronavirus and the potential weaker growth its continuation…

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Weekly Outlook

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Corn Prices: Farmer Holding and the Coronavirus

Old crop corn basis and futures spreads continue to signal a smaller crop scenario than the price levels in the futures market suggest.  Futures price levels reflect the uncertainty associated with the coronavirus and the potential weaker growth its continuation…

read more

2020 Soybean Price Prospects

Soybean prices put in a moderate rally last week. An outlook for a large South American soybean crop and uncertainty of the impact on economic growth associated with the evolving coronavirus situation hang over U.S. soybean demand scenarios moving forward.…

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Corn Consumption Showing Improvement

Uncertainties regarding the potential trade deal and coronavirus outbreak remain as negative forces for commodity markets. Corn prices came through the difficulty relatively well over the last couple of weeks. March corn futures prices continue to bounce around in a…

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2020 Cattle Inventory—Herd Expansion Comes to an End

The U.S. beef cattle herd is known to cycle through periods of expansion and contraction roughly every 10 years or so. The high feed price era from 2007 to 2013 contributed to one of those contraction phases with beef cow…

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Soybeans Need Good News

Soybean futures prices fell again last week on reports of a coronavirus outbreak rattling the Chinese economy and the prospects of a huge Brazilian crop.  A double hit associated with increased production from our main competitor and a potential drop…

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Two Trade Deals and a Price Drop

The signing of the Phase 1 trade deal with China and approval in the Senate of the USMCA last week saw two positive developments on the trade front.  Despite some resolution on these trade issues, markets reacted negatively.  The USMCA,…

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Biofuels

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Biodiesel Production Profits in 2019

The U.S. biodiesel industry continued to face strong headwinds in 2019 due to the demand destruction wreaked by small refinery exemptions (SREs). For example, in a previous farmdoc daily article (March 14, 2019) it was estimated that SREs reduced biomass-based…

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2019 Ethanol Production Profits: Just How Bad Was It?

The U.S. ethanol industry faced major headwinds in 2019, including low ethanol and dried distillers grain (DDGS) prices and continued policy setbacks in the implementation of the RFS.  There was some good news with the granting of a year-round RVP…

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Has Ethanol Increased Total US Corn Use?

Corn processed into US ethanol has grown dramatically, and accounted for 37% of total US corn use during the 2018 market year (USDA (US Department of Agriculture), Office of the Chief Economist, November 2019).  A related, but broader issue is,…

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Clearing the Logjam on the RFS and SREs: A Simple Proposal

Implementation of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) in the U.S. has been controversial from the start. The latest controversy revolves around a seemingly obscure provision of the RFS that allows small refineries to be exempted from mandated volume requirements. The…

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Law and Taxation: A Retrospective of 20 Years

In many respects, the development of law is an evolutionary process, adjusting slowly to the evolving needs and values of society.  Certainty and stability with respect to property rights, regulatory programs and the tax structure provide a solid foundation for…

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Biofuels Markets and Policy: 20th Anniversary of the farmdoc Project

When the farmdoc project started in 1999 biofuels markets and policy were barely on the radar screen. However, production and use of biofuels in the U.S. grew very rapidly starting around 2005 due to a combination of factors. Two factors…

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Marketing & Outlook Data

Illinois Regional Basis Data

Illinois Regional Basis Data – Soybeans

Historical soybean basis for seven regions in Illinois.  Basis and cash prices are reported weekly from 1975. File is in Microsoft Excel format.
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Illinois Regional Basis Data – Corn

Historical corn basis for seven regions in Illinois.  Basis and cash prices are reported weekly from 1975. File is in Microsoft Excel format.
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Selected Market Data

Selected Market Data – Corn

Current and historical values of factors important for developing supply, demand, and price expectations for corn. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Selected Market Data – Soybeans

Current and historical values of factors important for developing supply, demand, and price expectations for corn and soybeans. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Price Data

US Average Farm Price Received Database

Average farm price received data, for multiple commodities, in the US for the period 1960 to present. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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lllinois Average Farm Price Received Database

Average farm price received data, for multiple commodities, in the state of Illinois for the period 1960 to present. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Agricultural Supply and Demand Database

Values for a number of important supply, demand, and price variables for crops and livestock since 1975. File is Microsoft Excel format.
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Marketing & Outlook Reports

The Marketing and Outlook Research Reports (MORR) were published between 2008 and 2014. The reports are archived for interested researchers and public use.

The Marketing and Outlook Briefs (MOBR) were published between 2007 and 2011. The articles are archived for interested researchers and public use.

The AgMAS Reports  were published between 1997 and 2012. The reports are archived for interested researchers and public use.

Marketing & Outlook Publication Archives

Weekly Outlook

Marketing & Outlook archives include Weekly Outlook articles published from 1999-2010. The current Weekly Outlook series is published on farmdoc daily.

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