Nov 21 | Weather Update and Market Review

* Weather with Trent Ford
* Register for the Farm Assets Conference
* Commodity Week Podcast

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CLIMATE REVIEW & WEATHER FORECAST

This week was a bit more like mid-fall than late fall, with average temperatures ranging from the mid-40s to the low 50s, between 2 and 7 degrees above average. Many places saw high temperatures reach into the upper 70s, including 79 in Jacksonville and 78 in Charleston. November temperatures to date have been 1 to 3 degrees warmer than normal statewide. The fall season to date has been a top 10 warmest on record in much of the state, including the 7th warmest fall in Champaign-Urbana and the 10th warmest in Peoria.

by Trent Ford, State Climatologist
ISWS PRI University of Illinois

A series of weaker systems moved through Illinois this week, bringing rain to most of the state. 7-day totals ranged from virtually 0 in far southern Illinois to over 2 inches in south-central Illinois. Even with the rain, most of the northern two-thirds of the state has been 6 to 10 inches drier than normal going back to late August, making this fall season to date a top 10 driest on record in many parts of central and northern Illinois. Some of this week’s storms also brought a taste of November severe weather, including large hail in parts of central and south-central Illinois. These included 2.5” hail in Jasper County and Clark County.

Looking forward, the clouds will split and allow for a partly sunny weekend with high temperatures in the 50s statewide. However, temperatures are forecasted to drop quickly right around Thanksgiving, with forecasted highs in the 30s and low 40s around the state on turkey day. Next week will also be quite wet for southern Illinois, with forecasted totals exceeding 1 inch everywhere south of interstate 70. It does look like we’ll mostly avoid snow on Thanksgiving weekend, but outlooks into the first week of December hint at more active weather ahead. Speaking of outlooks, the most recent ones for the final month of the year show highest chances of colder and wetter than normal weather. December, and maybe July, are the only months of the year where a cooler, wetter outlook is popular.

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REGISTER FOR THE FARMDOC TEAM WINTER MEETINGS

The 2025 Farm Assets Conference is scheduled for Friday, December 12 at the AgriCenter in Bloomington, Illinois. The doors open at 7:30 a.m. central. The program starts at 8:00 a.m. Registration for 2025 is $80 per person through noon December 8 and $100 thereafter. Media and Extension personnel may register for free.

CLICK TO REGISTER and for complete Farm Assets Conference details.

LET’S TALK FUNDAMENTALS
Commodity Markets and Crop Budgets
Trade, Transportation, and the Global Grain Markets.

DEMAND ON THE HORIZON
Signs Point to a Bullish Biofuels Policy
BioManufacturing and the Future of Ag
Ag Policy Objectives and Prospects

SPREADSHEETS AND MUDDY BOOTS
Why you should use the N-Rate Calculator
Crop Sciences for the 2026 Growing Season

RESEARCH, OUTREACH, AND WORKING TOGETHER
Round Table with the Ag Leadership

You may also want to register for the 2025 Illinois Farm Economic Summits. Visit the IFES website for more details about these ag econ meetings in DeKalb, Peoria, and Mt. Vernon.

Contact Todd Gleason at tgleason@illinois.edu or (217) 333-9697 if you have questions.

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PUBLIC RADIO FOR THE FARMING WORLD

WILLAg.org radio programming for the work week ending November 20, 2025

Commodity Week can be heard in the 2 o’clock hour central time on WILL AM580 or you may subscribe to it using the links in the player below. This week the panelists include Naomi Blohm from Total Farm Marketing, Jim McCormick of AgMarket.net, and Arlan Suderman at StoneX.

The Closing Market Report airs at 2:06 p.m. central daily on WILL AM580. It, too, is a podcast. Subscribe using the link in the player.